Payton Shanks
June 17, 2024 8:42 pm ET
The Baltimore Orioles (47-24) and New York Yankees (50-24) open a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyzeFanDuel Sportsbook’slines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Baltimore leads 3-1
Baltimore beat the Philadelphia Phillies 8-3 Sunday, covering as a -135 home favorite with the Over (7) hitting. The Orioles took 2 of 3 vs. the Phillies — winning 6-2 as -175 faves Saturday — and are 8-2 in their last 10 games.
New York lost 9-3 as a 135 road favorite to the Boston Red Sox on Sunday Night Baseball with the Over (9.5) cashing. After taking Friday’s series opener 8-1 as -147 favorites, the Yankees lost Saturday (8-4 as -177 faves) and Sunday to lose 2 of 3 to their AL East rivals. New York is 5-5 in its last 10 games.
Orioles at Yankees projected starters
RHP Albert Suarez vs. LHP Nestor Cortes
Suarez (3-0, 1.61 ERA) makes his 8th start and 15th appearance. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 44 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 4-0 home victory vs. Atlanta Braves June 11
- Never faced Yankees before; pitched in 54 career games
Cortes (3-5, 3.59 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 87 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 4-3 loss at Kansas City Royals Thursday
- 2024 vs. Orioles: 1 start, loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 4-2 setback on road April 30
- Career vs. Orioles: 4-1, 2.45 ERA (51 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 11.6 K/9 across 8 starts and 2 relief appearances
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Orioles at Yankees odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 8:40 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Orioles +124 (bet $100 to win $124) | Yankees -146 (bet $146 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-166) | Yankees -1.5 (+138)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -122)
Orioles at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 6, Yankees 4
Moneyline
BET ORIOLES (+124).
Baltimore is 4-0 in its last 4 road games and 10-2 in its last 12 road games, while New York is 1-2 in its last 3 at home. The Orioles are 7-2 in the last 9 head-to-head contests vs. New York, and are 4-2 in their last 6 games at Yankee Stadium.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Orioles +1.5 (-166) should cover here as underdogs, but the -166 juice isn’t worth the risk and backing Baltimore on the moneyline is much safer.
Over/Under
BET OVER 9 (+100).
The O/U is 2-0-1 in the Orioles’ last 3 games, and is 5-2-1 in their last 8 road outings. For the Yankees, the Over is 6-3-1 in their last 10, and 4-2 in their last 6 at home.
Baltimore is the 2nd-best Over team in the majors at 36-26-9 — the Detroit Tigers are No. 1 at 40-28-3. New York’s O/U this season is 35-36.
The Over has also hit in 2 of the last 3 Baltimore-New York matchups in New York with the non-Over being a Push on a O/U line of 9.
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